BREXIT AND THE NEW ELECTION IN BRITAIN
Security and stability in the context of a dynamic and changing transatlantic partnership
European and transatlantic security architecture in the post-Brexit world
Bucharest, 11th of December 2019
As a Romanian leading research institute in the area of international relations and security studies, the Center for Conflict Prevention and Early Warning extended an likewise complex analysis and exclusive perspective of the international military, defence, security and intelligence team’s experts outcome participating at the Conference and involving
The New Europe before and after Brexit
European and transatlantic security in the post-Brexit world
The New Relation with Russia: Europe vs Russia and the USA vs the Russian Federation
The New Roles in Europe: Will France or Germany take over the Leadership of Europe, or they will divide up and share such markets and interest?
The New Relationship Europe and the USA
The New security challenges on the Black Sea Area
The New integrated world-wide architectures concerning and involving the upcoming of the UK’s major international roles and foreign policies, concerning Europe and Overseas
„ NATO and the new strategic concept. Romania’s priorities”.
the content evaluation of the future NATO strategic concept and the substantial contribution to the national effort oriented at strengthening Romania’s position regarding the features of the new strategic post-Brexit concepts ”
The forefront of research in the fields of Energy Security, Critical Infrastructure Protection and Security Sector Reform
promoting security research and innovation (energy security, critical infrastructure protection problematic, a.o.), dialogue, education, training and research on major issues of national and international security, including nonproliferation, focusing on military and non-military risks, primarily natural hazards, climate chaos and national security, emerging systemic risks, corruption, organized crime (including illegal emigration and trafficking), terrorism, the security sector reform, security sector governance and the security culture.
The conference was necessary and internationally requested in a context where the transatlantic link will have to overcome many obstacles, some of which are new or have become particularly acute. The subjects included on the agenda are the changing nature of the EU itself, following the imminent exit of the United Kingdom, the wave of populism and extremism, the increasingly divergent opinions on Russia and involvement in Eastern Europe, and the impulse of creating a European army.
A dedicated vehicle for “Up to Us” Association, along with Hanns Seidel Foundation – Romania, Wilfried Martens Centre for European Studies and Centre for Conflict Prevention and Early Warning agenda regarding the security and stability in a complex and dynamic changing transatlantic environment.
This conference of transatlantic interest brought together European security and defense officials (the UK, Germany, Ukraine, Romania, and Moldova) as well as some guests from the United States and will strengthening trilateral relations between Ukraine, Romania and Republic of Moldova in the new geopolitical context.
Britain’s impending withdrawal from the EU raises important questions on the future of EU – UK security cooperation, on whether the EU will choose to enhance its military side of its close collaboration. Britain will have to redefine its role in this security architecture and NATO might redefine its footprint as a result of Brexit. For countries like Romania, this might mean a subtle difference in the cross-currents advocating for a Euro-centric vs. those advocating for a transatlantic (i.e. US – strong) military component.
To be very concrete, when Russian jets were scrambled close to Romania’s airspace several times recently, more likely than not it was Royal Air Force, Canadian Air Force and US planes taking to the skies in return. After Brexit, the domestic call on public finances on issues such as housing and healthcare or propping up the economy might take precedence and the relationship with EU countries, especially second wave accession countries such as Romania might be different. Romania needs a strong relationship with the UK and this relationship needs to be redefined in the post-Brexit world. There is also an important trans-atlantic component to this relationship in view of Romania’s strategic partnership with the United States and its playing host to key military infrastructure.
The main objective of the conference: teasing out these issues and answering a few questions:
- What is the current status of Brexit and who are its champions? Can it survive the upcoming election and when will it happen? What are the key players and stakeholders?
- What is the European security architecture going to look like following Britain’s leaving the EU?
- What are the steps to a unified EU defence and will it ever match the US strength – or can it at least get significantly stronger?
- Will Britain’s leaving the EU going to accelerate a “core EU” vision that is euro-centric and does not see the need for heavy US involvement?
- What steps can Romania take to enhance cooperation with the United Kingdom and to what extent can Europe still expect British involvement in European security?
- What can reasonably be the shape of a future UK – Romanian and UK – European security architecture and can the UK be counted on to still be a part of regional security risks and concerns, like the militarization of the Black Sea for instance?
Ministry of Foreign Affairs Romania
Center for Conflict Prevention and Early Warning
“Tine de noi” Association
Hanns Seidel Foundation
The Defence and Security Monitor-MediaFax Group
EURISC-European Institute for Risk, Security and Communication Management | Center for Security Studies ETH Zurich Switzerland
Participants and special guests:
Associate Professor and researcher Greg Simons, Docent / Lecturer Uppsala University, Institute for Russian and Eurasian Studies (IRES), Faculty Member and lecturer at the Department of Communication Sciences at Turiba University in Riga https://uppsala.academia.edu/Departments/Institute_for_Russian_and_Eurasian_Studies_IRES_/Documents (https://uppsala.academia.edu/GregSimons)
Christopher Coker – London School of Economics – Director at LSE Ideas , one of the best think-tanks in the world dealing with strategy and foreign policy http://www.lse.ac.uk/ideas/people/coker
Andrew Noble – currently UK Ambassador to Romania, formerly Foreign and Commonwealth Office Director of Security and Deputy Head of Mission and Consul General to Greece
Samir Puri (tbc) – King’s College London, Oxford Defence Researcher with a paper on Romania’s defence strategy, currently has a book on EU strategy in relation to Russia
Gen. Sergiu Medar- The Defence and Security Monitor (https://en.monitorulapararii.ro/)
Jeffrey Michales, International Expert, Staff and Senior Lecturer at Defence Department Studies-KING’S COLLEGE LONDON UK, NATO staffer and former employee of the US Defence Department (https://www.kcl.ac.uk/people/michaels-dr-jeffrey )
Iulian Chifu-President of the Center for Conflict Prevention and Early Warning (http://cpc-ew.ro/) (http://securityconference.ro/speakers/iulian-chifu-2/)
Razvan Orasanu ((https://tinedenoi.ro/) (https://www.razvanorasanu.ro/despre-mine/), Chairman of TINE DE NOI Association
Paul Mirica, Chairman Matarom Indistries, international expert
Dr.Sorin Dobircianu, defence & intelligence sr.expert Defence Unlimited (http://defenceunlimited.com/dr-sorin-dobircianu/)
Peter Racanel, President of VIVERA Co (www.vivera.ro), diplomat
Dipl.Eng. Constantin Stan, international relations expert
Prof. Liviu Muresan, President of EURISC-European Institute for Risk, Security and Communication Management | Center for Security Studies ETH Zurich Switzerland (https://css.ethz.ch/en/services/css-partners/partner.html/48950)
Denisia Antoci-Blaj, lawyer, international law & legislation expert, member of the Franch Bar Association in Paris
Apti Metin, President f the Silk Road Association https://portbusiness.ro/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/Silk-Road-Round-table-_05April-2017-SRA.pdf
Narciz Balasoiu, Program Director of the Center for Conflict Prevention and Early Warning (http://cpc-ew.ro/), lector ACADEMY FOR ECONOMIC STUDIES (https://www.ase.ro/index_en.asp)
Other guests. (Frone Adrian).